基于CRITIC-云模型的石化行业节能减排技术评价
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国家自然科学基金(52304195);煤炭安全精准开采国家地方联合工程研究中心项目(EC2023004);安徽省高校优秀科研创新团队项目(2022AH010054)


Evaluation of energy saving and emission reduction technologies in petrochemical industry based on CRITIC-cloud modeling
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    摘要:

    为了解决石化行业节能减排技术评估体系构建尚不完善的问题,聚焦石化行业节能减排技术,从技术性能、经济效益和环境保护3方面构建评价指标体系,通过CRITIC(criteria importance though intercrieria correlation)-云模型进行评价。结果表明:石化行业75%的节能减排技术综合评分在0.6以上,其中变频器调速节能技术、蒸汽系统运行优化与节能技术、大型高参数板壳式换热技术是标杆技术;石化行业节能减排技术在成熟度、适用性、减排成本以及减排潜力上的表现存在显著差异,其中多能互补型直流微电网及抽油机节能群控系统技术与多孔表面高通量管高效换热技术在经济效益和环境效益方面亟待改进;云模型评价显示,石化行业节能减排技术整体处于“可接受级”水平,并逐步向“可宣称级”水平迈进。研究结果从技术评价视角为石化行业锚定发展节能减排技术提供了评价依据,有助于助推“双碳”目标的达成。

    Abstract:

    In order to solve the problem of incomplete construction of energy-saving and emission-reduction technology evaluation system in the petrochemical industry, this study focused on energy-saving and emission-reduction technologies in the petrochemical industry, constructed an evaluation index system based on technical performance, economic benefits, and environmental protection using the CRITIC-cloud rating model. The research findings indicated that over 75% of energy-saving and emission-reduction technologies in the petrochemical industry score is above 0.6 in comprehensive evaluation. Benchmark technologies include variable frequency drive energy-saving technology, steam system operation optimization and energy-saving technology, and large-scale high-parameter plate-shell heat exchange technology. Significant differences are observed in the maturity, applicability, emission reduction costs, and reduction potential of energy-saving and emission-reduction technologies in the petrochemical industry. Technologies such as multi-energy complementary DC microgrid and pump energy-saving group control system technology, and high-efficiency heat exchange technology with porous surface high-flux tubes require should be improved in economic and environmental benefits; The cloud model evaluation shows that the whole energy-saving and emission-reduction technologies in the petrochemical industry reach an "acceptable" level and are gradually towards a "claimable" level. The research results provide evaluation criteria for the development of energy-saving and emission-reduction technologies in the petrochemical industry from a technical assessment perspective, and aids in achieving the goals of carbon neutrality.

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李姗姗,周弘毅.基于CRITIC-云模型的石化行业节能减排技术评价[J].河北科技大学学报,2025,46(1):108-118

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  • 收稿日期:2024-07-03
  • 最后修改日期:2024-09-29
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-01-17
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